Why Does 2028 Matter For Gerrymandering?

The next census is 2030. The maps drawn after it will govern America for a decade. 2028 sets the table.

The Decade Cycle.

2020
Census
2021
Redistricting
2022-30
Elections
2028
THE PIVOT
2030
Census
2031
Redistricting
2032-40
Elections

Key States.

Wisconsin

Has been one of the most gerrymandered states in the country. 2028 state legislative elections determine who controls redistricting after 2030.

North Carolina

Flips between partisan control regularly. Maps have been struck down and redrawn multiple times.

Georgia

Genuine swing state at presidential level but Republicans control state legislature.

Arizona

Has independent redistricting commission for congressional seats but state legislative seats still drawn by legislature.

Michigan

Passed independent redistricting commission in 2018. 2028 state races still matter.

Texas

Largest red state but fastest growing Latino and urban populations in the country.

The REDMAP Strategy

In 2010 the Republican State Leadership Committee launched REDMAP — Redistricting Majority Project. They spent $30 million targeting 107 state legislative seats in 16 states. They flipped enough chambers to control redistricting in states representing 190 congressional districts. The 2028 state races are the next REDMAP moment.